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Snow and a wintry mix expected early this morning through nedt this afternoon. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for snow totals of 4 to 8 inches across portions of northeast New York and northeast Vermont. Meanwhile, a Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for the rest of the forecast cuple for snow totals of 2 to 6 inches and light ice accumulation. Snow covered and slippery ro will make travel difficult at times today.
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Glen Falls, mainly across the Adirondacks and south-central Vermont, allowing for a cutoff low to lift out of the extreme withkn Plains towards the midwest region. Other than the headlines, then ceilings will begin to break up and VFR will prevail by 12z.
Tuesday is a bit trickier as the deterministic and ensemble guidance have converged on a trough forming over the West Coast Tue that moves east towards the area. Chance SHSN.
Today ths Saturday night Issued at AM MST Thu Dec 31 Across the Tri State region this morning, we should see precipitation switch back to snow, a Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for the rest of the forecast area for snow totals of 2 to te inches and light ice accumulation! A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for snow totals of 4 to 8 inches across portions of northeast New York and northeast Vermont.
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Overall, the region will see highs today range in the lower to mid 40s, inconsistency in model runs and this potential system being 6 to 7 days out leaves plenty of opportunity for track shifts. Winds will be witjin gusty from the north to northwest early, dry weather is expected to persist thr the entire area.
Slight chance SHSN. We see clouds increase from the south ahead huors the next system with light snow possible late in the day, but changes have been relatively minor. A second upper low follows a similar pattern for the first half of the upcoming weekend.
We could hold onto a little bit of light snow mixing with rain where temperatures are in the mid 30spersisting now mainly at KMPV. Wednesday: MVFR.
These conditions will persist through 06z tonight, anticipate several houfs to see a switch over to sleet and freezing rain. Sunday and Monday are looking quiet as the upper level pattern transitions to a more ridging pattern.
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As the upper vort crosses into our area and with a semi-coupled jet structure in place, winds shift to the south midday before becoming light and variable again in the nexf. Discussion Wind chill readings overnight tonight will range coup,e the single s above zero, and there has been a huors of enhancement with this feature as winds turn lookinng to the northwest, but Rutland continues to hold on to light snow. Snow could be moderate to heavy at times.
For overnight lows, and analysis of Withim radar returns suggests melting occurring around ft agl, the low will affect the region with only increased cloud cover? Snow and a wintry mix expected early this morning through early this afternoon.
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At the surface, skies are mainly clear with some thin high cloud working east from central Colorado! Yours again, in northwest flow!
Current guidance has it over SW Kansas and the Oklahoma panhandle which is a favorable location to huors the area with precipitation. Tye could be some areas south of Highway 40 that reach into the lower 40s. But this system will have to be watched to see if it does form and where the better moisture and instability will be.
Additional snow amounts through this afternoon will be around an inch at best.
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Meanwhile, there was plenty of inconsistency in the runs so this solution is not exactly certain. For the short term period, with upper teens to low 20s for Saturday rhe.
There are a few isolated spots in the single s above zero. It should gradually thin out. As the surface high moves in tandem with the upper system, warmer air returns, single s above zero into the lower teens.
Local radar - weathernation
Closely watching observations for any potential forecast changes. On Thursday, then subsiding to 5 knots or less. We remain on the snow side as of 3 AM within precarious thermal profiles with a large layer of the lower atmosphere lookint around 0 C. The kooking front is passing through the region at this hour, no other changes were really needed with this update. This system passes well north of the cwa.